Tick-borne encephalitis epidemiology and surveillance in Poland, and comparison with selected European countries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, 2008 to 2020.

BackgroundTick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is the most common viral central nervous system (CNS) infection in Poland. Previous research suggests that its incidence was underestimated in the pre-pandemic period. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a considerable burden on surveillance systems, which could further impact reporting.AimWe aimed to assess the completeness of reporting of TBE in the years 2008 to 2020 and explore the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on reporting to the epidemiological surveillance system, compared with hospitalisations for TBEV and other viral neuro-infections.MethodsWe compared the Polish epidemiology of TBE and other viral infections of the CNS from national surveillance reports with data on hospitalisations from 2008 to 2020 and data from selected European countries.ResultsBetween 2008 and 2020, 3,016 TBE cases were reported to surveillance compared with 3,620 hospitalisations. There was an increasing trend in hospitalisations, while surveillance data demonstrated the opposite, with the largest discrepancy observed in the first pandemic year (354 hospitalisations vs 159 cases reported to surveillance). Serological testing for TBE was used more in the known endemic region of north-eastern Poland and less in non-endemic areas. Other European countries reported higher TBE case numbers and an increase during the COVID-19 pandemic, whereas Poland observed an opposite trend.ConclusionThe sensitivity of TBE surveillance in Poland requires improvement. There are considerable regional differences. Regions that test for TBE intensively report most cases. Policymakers should be made aware of the value of quality epidemiological data for planning prophylactic measures in risk areas.

Mumps in Poland in 2020.

INTRODUCTION: Mumps is an acute, generalized viral disease whose source of infection is the infected person. In 2003, vaccination against mumps became compulsory in Poland, performed according to a twodose scheme. The combined MMR vaccine (against measles, mumps and rubella) was introduced as part of the Protective Vaccination Program (PVP), which influenced the number of cases in Poland. AIM: The aim of the study was to evaluate the epidemiological indicators of mumps in Poland in 2020 compared to previous years. METHODS: The analysis of the epidemiological situation of mumps in Poland in 2020 was based on the interpretation of data from the bulletin "Infectious diseases and poisonings in Poland in 2020" and "Vaccinations in Poland in 2020". RESULTS: In 2020, 582 cases of mumps were registered in Poland. The total incidence was 1.5 per 100,000 inhabitants and was lower compared to 2019. The highest incidence was 2.0 per 100,000 inhabitants were registered in the Swietokrzyskie Voivodeship and the lowest - 0.7 in the Dolnoslaskie Voivodeship. The highest incidence (24.6/100,000) was recorded in children aged 5-9 years. The incidence of men (1.8/100,000) was higher than that of women (1.2/100,000). In 2020, 6 patients were hospitalized in Poland due to mumps, which was less than in 2019 (22 patients). The level of vaccination against mumps in children aged 3 was lower by 0.7 percentage points compared to 2019 and amounted to 91.9% across Poland. CONCLUSIONS: In 2020, there was a decrease in the number of mumps cases compared to the previous year. The lower incidence may have been the result of a reduction in mumps virus transmission due to a change in population health behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic. Due to the epidemiological threat, the functioning of nurseries, kindergartens and schools was also temporarily suspended, which resulted in a reduction in the incidence of mumps in younger age groups, which are the main group of patients.

Chickenpox in Poland in 2020.

INTRODUCTION: Chickenpox is an infectious disease caused by the varicella zoster virus. The characteristic feature of this virus is very high visibility of 90-95%. The most common connection is direct contact with the disease or via droplets. The United States was the first country to introduce a universal, population-based childhood varicella vaccination program in 1995. In its 25 years of implementation, this program has significantly reduced the burden of chickenpox. There was a more than 97% reduction in varicella incidence and a 90% reduction in varicella-related hospitalizations and deaths, the highest (99%) in those under the age of 20 (born after starting the vaccination programme). Chickenpox is very common in Poland. In recent years, starting from 2002, there has been an upward trend in the incidence of chickenpox, except for 2020. In 2020, a decrease in the number of cases was recorded. OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to assess the epidemiological situation of chickenpox in Poland in 2020 and to compare it with the situation in previous years. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Evaluation of the epidemiological situation of chickenpox in Poland in 2020 was based on the results of the analysis of aggregate data published in the annual bulletins: "Infectious diseases and poisonings in Poland in 2020." and "Vaccinations in Poland in 2020". In addition, recommendations from the Protective Vaccination Program for 2020 were used. RESULTS: In 2020, 71,567 cases of chickenpox were registered in Poland, i.e. 39.6% less than in the previous year. The incidence of chickenpox in 2020 was 186.6 per 100,000 and was lower than in 2019. The lowest incidence was recorded in the Swietokrzyskie Voivodship - 118.5/100,000, while the highest in the Kujawsko-Pomorskie Voivodeship - 263.5/100,000. Most cases concerned children aged 0-4 years (36,661). The incidence of chickenpox in men was higher than in women, and in rural areas higher than in urban dwellers. Hospitalization due to chickenpox in 2020 covered 1,368 people, which accounted for 0.51% of the total number of registered cases. CONCLUSIONS: In 2020, there was a decrease in the number of cases of chickenpox compared to the previous year. The lower incidence may have been the result of reduced transmission of the varicella virus due to changes in the health behavior of the population during the COVID-19 pandemic (isolation measures and the introduction of a lock down throughout Poland limiting the activity of the population).

Lyme disease in Poland in 2020.

INTRODUCTION: Lyme borreliosis, also known as Lyme disease, is a zoonotic disease transmitted by ticks. The infection occurs through a bite by a common tick (Ixodes ricinus). Due to the annual cycle of tick activity, mainly dependent on temperature, Lyme disease is seasonal. In certain cases, post-exposure prophylaxis may be indicated, while the vaccine is in phase III clinical trials. AIM OF THE STUDY: The aim of the study is to assess the epidemiological situation of Lyme disease in Poland in 2020 compared to the situation in previous years. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The epidemiological situation of Lyme disease in Poland was assessed on the basis of the data sent to NIPH NIH - NRI by voivodeship sanitary-epidemiological stations and published in the bulletin "Infectious diseases and poisoning in Poland in 2020". RESULTS: In 2020, 12,934 Lyme borreliosis cases and 459 hospitalizations were registered which, compared to 2019, means a 37.3% decrease in morbidity and a 73% decrease in hospitalization. It may be related to the outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 virus at the end of 2019, which reached Poland at the beginning of March 2020. It can be seen that in Q2, due to the lower activity of people due to the epidemic, the number of cases of Lyme disease was less than in Q1 (2,064 in Q2 compared to 2,253 in Q1). The decrease compared to 2019 also continued in the third and fourth quarter, by 28% and 49%, respectively. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION: The impact of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak on the distribution of Lyme disease incidence is noticeable, in particular on the decrease in the overall number of cases during the year, as well as on hospitalization due to Lyme disease with the previously observed stabilization of the incidence. The pandemic could have influenced this state of affairs on various levels. The main reason was, of course, the introduction of the epidemic and the related restrictions (including reduced mobility), but it cannot be ruled out that the cause was not an excessive burden on the health care system and sanitary inspection (delay in registration of reports).

Meningitis and encephalitis in Poland in 2020.

INTRODUCTION: Meningitis and/or encephalitis are one of the main infectious diseases of the nervous system. These diseases are most commonly caused by bacterial and viral etiological factors. In this publication, meningitis and/or encephalitis caused by Neisseria meningitidis, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae and those with a viral origin - in Poland, most often caused by tick-borne encephalitis virus - are presented in detail. In addition to epidemiological surveillance, immunoprophylaxis in the form of mandatory and recommended vaccinations is used in Poland to prevent these infections. AIM OF THE STUDY: The aim of this study was to to assess the epidemiological situation of meningitis and encephalitis in Poland, in 2020. MATERIAL AND METHODS: To analyse the epidemiological situation of neuroinfections in Poland were used data sent to NIPH NIH - NRI by Voivodeship Sanitary and Epidemiological Stations and published in the annual bulletins: "Infectious diseases and poisonings in Poland in 2020" and "Protective vaccination in Poland in 2020" and individual epidemiological interviews registered in the EpiBaza system. RESULTS: In 2020, a total of 831 cases of meningitis and/or encephalitis were registered in Poland. This is a decrease in incidence of up to 62.9% compared to 2019. For infections of bacterial etiology, including cases of neuroborreliosis (incidence of 2.40 per 100,000), the number of cases decreased by 60.4% (from 931 to 369). In the viral infection group, there was a 64.9% decrease (from 1,318 to 462 cases). Of all registered cases, 56% were infections with a viral etiology. Compared to 2019, the number of cases with an S. pneumoniae etiology decreased by 61.3% and for N. meningitidis by 41.1%. It is interesting to note that, in the case of H. influenzae, we can speak of a 20% increase in cases compared to the previous year. In addition, we can see a decrease in the incidence of tick-borne encephalitis - from 265 in 2019 to 158 in 2020 (a decrease of 40.4%). SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS: Overall, a downward trend in incidence was shown for both bacterial and viral meningitis and/or encephalitis. The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and the introduction of restrictions on personto-person contact and various forms of activity, resulting in a reduction in pathogen transmission, were key to the significant reduction in the number of meningitis and/or encephalitis cases in 2020, but a reduction in the availability of medical facilities or the completeness of case reports due to the burden of anti-epidemic measures on the Sanitary Inspectorate cannot be excluded either. Only in the case of cases caused by H. influenzae was a slight increase observed compared to the previous year (12 versus 10 cases). Meningoencephalitis and/or encephalitis, due to its wide etiological range, poses a major challenge to the health care system, particularly in terms of correct clinical diagnosis.

Pertussis in Poland in 2020.

INTRODUCTION: The epidemiological situation of infectious diseases in Poland in 2020, including pertussis cases, was significantly influenced by the limitation of interpersonal contacts introduced to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 virus. There was a reduction by more than half in the number of recorded pertussis cases, from 1,629 in 2019 to 753 in 2020. Pertussis is most dangerous for young children, however, it can get sick at any age, and the disease does not leave permanent immunity. Severe pertussis can also develop in the elderly, which may increase the risk of mortality. Adults usually have pertussis is mildly symptomatic and constitute an important reservoir of B. pertussis. The most effective strategy for the prevention of pertussis is still immunization of children in accordance with the Protective Vaccination Program, and in the case of adults, vaccination with the pertussis component in acellular form, repeated regularly every 10 years. OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to assess the epidemiological situation of pertussis in Poland in 2020 compared to the situation in previous years, with particular emphasis on the assessment of the vaccination status of children against pertussis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The assessment of the epidemiological situation of pertussis in Poland was performed on the basis of the results of the analysis of unit reports of pertussis registered in the NIPH NIH - NRI in the EpiBaza system and data from the annual bulletin "Infectious diseases and poisonings in Poland in 2020" and the bulletin "Vaccinations in Poland in 2020". RESULTS: In 2020, 753 cases of pertussis were registered. The incidence was 1.96 per 100,000 population and was lower compared to the incidence in 2019 (4.24). The highest incidence of pertussis occurred in the age group 0-4 years (9.9), and high in children and adolescents aged 5-9 years (5.1) and 10-14 years (6.0 per 100,000 population). About half of the cases concerned people over 15 years of age. In general, a higher incidence of women was observed than that of men, as well as a greater number of cases in cities than in rural areas. In 2020, among people suffering from pertussis, 206 people (i.e. 27%) required hospitalization. In 2020, one fatal case of the disease was reported to the epidemiological surveillance system. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS: In Poland, in 2020, there was a decrease in the number of pertussis cases by more than a half compared to the previous year. Despite the decline in disease rates, pertussis remains a public health problem as immunization-induced immunity is not sustained throughout life. Increasing the number of people susceptible to pertussis may lead to compensatory epidemics in the future, therefore the highest possible level of vaccination of the population, >92-94%, should be maintained to prevent new cases of pertussis.

Intrest in influenza and influenza like illnesses in Poland 2016-2021 based on Google Trend's data analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Influenza and Influenza Like Illness (ILI) are viral diseases that show seasonality in incidence. Influenza can be effectively prevented with immunization. Vaccination is recommended for risk groups, especially for the elderly, immunocompromised population, with chronic diseases and pregnant women. AIM OF THE STUDY: The purpose of the study was to assess interest in influenza and influenza vaccine in Poland by users of the Google search engine over the last five years using the Google Trends (GT) tool. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data collected from Google Trends (GT) over a five-year period beginning on 11/9/2016 was analyzed. The time trend analysis focused at four phrases in Polish "grypa", "grypa objawy", "szczepionka przeciw grypie" and "szczepionka na grype", which can be translated into English, as; "flu", "flu symptoms", "flu vaccine", and a colloquial phrase meaning "against the flu vaccine". RESULTS: Before the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, a seasonal increase in inquiries is evident, mimicking the increase in influenza and ILI cases or an increase in interest in the topic during the season in which prophylaxis is carried out using available vaccines. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the seasonal interest in the above topic was disrupted. CONCLUSIONS: During the COVID-19 pandemic, there were changes in the search terms in Polish. This included the timing and amount of queries related to influenza-themed expressions. During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was an increase in influenza and ILI queries during the period of increased incidence of COVID-19.

Pertussis in Poland in 2018-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Pertussis is an endemic, highly contagious disease that can be prevented through vaccination. In Poland, since the second half of the nineties, changes in the epidemiology of pertussis have been observed - an increase in the number of cases, despite the high level of vaccination of the population. The highest percentage of registered cases of pertussis concerned people aged 15 and over. The causes of the increased incidence of pertussis are a complex problem. Immunity after pertussis vaccination is unstable, disappears within 4-12 years, and the risk of the disease increases with time after the last dose of the vaccine. Due to the loss of protection against pertussis in adults, it is important to repeat immunization with dTpa every 10 years. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to assess the epidemiological situation of pertussis in Poland in 2018-2019 compared to the situation in previous years, with particular emphasis on the assessment of the vaccination status of children against pertussis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The assessment of the epidemiological situation of pertussis in Poland was performed on the basis of the results of the analysis of unit reports of pertussis registered in the NIPH-NIH through the SRWE system and data from the bulletins "Infectious diseases and poisonings in Poland" for 2018 and 2019 and the bulletins "Vaccinations in Poland" for 2018 and 2019. RESULTS: In 2018, 1 548 were registered, and in 2019 - 1 629 cases of pertussis. The incidence was respectively: 4.0 and 4.2 per 100 000 population and was lower compared to the incidence in 2017 (8.0). The highest incidence of pertussis was in the age group 0-4 years (20.6 and 23.6 respectively), and high in children and adolescents aged 5-9 (10.9 and 11.5 respectively) and 10-14 years (respectively: 12.2 and 11.2 - per 100 000 population). About half of the cases concerned people over 15 years of age. In general, a higher incidence among women was observed than in men, as well as a higher incidence in cities than in rural areas. In 2018, among people with pertussis, 434 people (i.e. 28%) and in 2019 - 482 people (i.e. 29.6%) were hospitalized. In 2019, one fatal case of the disease was reported to the epidemiological surveillance system. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS: In Poland, in the years 2018-2019, there was a decrease in the number of cases of pertussis, the most common were children under the age of four (the highest incidence). A worrying trend is the decreasing number of vaccinations in children aged 2 years against pertussis covered by compulsory primary vaccinations in individual provinces. In the current epidemiological situation, the best way to prevent new cases of pertussis is to use vaccination according to the current regimen and to recommend to adults a single dose of dTpa vaccination, which should be repeated every 10 years.

The Global Interest in Vaccines and Its Prediction and Perspectives in the Era of COVID-19. Real-Time Surveillance Using Google Trends.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has globally overwhelmed all sectors of life. The fast development of vaccines against COVID-19 has had a significant impact on the course of the pandemic. METHODS: Global data from Google Trends was analyzed for vaccines against flu, BCG, HPV, pneumococcal disease, polio, and COVID-19. The time frame includes the last five-year period starting from 17 April 2016. Multiple training of time series models with back testing, including Holt-Winters forecasting, Exponential Smoothing State Space, Linear model with trend and seasonal components (tlsm), and ARIMA was conducted. Forecasting according to the best fitting model was performed. RESULTS: Correlation analysis did not reveal a decrease in interest in vaccines during the analyzed period. The prediction models provided a short-term forecast of the dynamics of interest for flu, HPV, pneumococcal and polio vaccines with 5-10% growth in interest for the first quarter of 2022 when compared to the same quarter of 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the huge interest in the COVID-19 vaccine, there has not been a detectable decline in the overall interest in the five analyzed vaccines.

Dental Challenges and the Needs of the Population during the Covid-19 Pandemic Period. Real-Time Surveillance Using Google Trends.

BACKGROUND: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic may lead to changes in the dental needs of the population and new challenges concerning oral health care. METHODS: The Google Trends tool was used to collect data on the Internet search interest. The investigated material was collected from 1 January 2020 to 23 August 2020. Search terms "toothache", "dentist" and "stay at home" were retrieved for the whole world as well as for the US, the UK, Poland, Italy and Sweden. RESULTS: During the lockdown, correlation analysis indicates the lowest public interest in the word "dentist" one week preceding the peak for "toothache", followed by an increase in the word search for "dentist". On 12 April, worldwide, the maximum of Google Trends Relative Search Volume (RSV) for "toothache" was observed. CONCLUSION: Decrease in "dentist" queries during lockdown followed by an increase in "toothache" search predicts greater dental needs in the post-pandemic period. The surveillance shows significant changes in queries for dental-related terms during the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to prepare for future pandemic outbreaks teledentistry programs should be taken into consideration.